Intended Nationally Determined Contribution.

This Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) of the Kyrgyz Republic is presented in accordance with decision 1/CP.20 UNFCCC. The Kyrgyz Republic belongs to the furthermost vulnerable countries to climate change, understands the importance of addressing the challenge and is making every effort to ensure that these initiatives are successful. The Kyrgyz Republic's greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions are relatively low. In 2010, the contribution of the country to the total global GHG emissions from fossil fuel combustion was 0.023%, while the population was 0.079% of the world's total population, i.e. per capita GHG emission in the Kyrgyz Republic is less than one-third of the world average. However, the planned economic development will lead to a sharp increase in greenhouse gases emissions, which determines the need for resolute actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. For the Kyrgyz Republic, a mountainous country that has a high vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, the implementation of adaptation actions is vital.
The most vulnerable sectors include water resources; agriculture; energy; healthcare; and forest and biodiversity. The scope of this policy shall be to prevent climate change related damages and losses in the country. It shall cover the following sectors: (a) energy; (b) industrial processes, solvents and products use; (c) agriculture; (d) land-use and forestry; and (e) waste.
Time frame January 1, 2020 - December 31, 2030, and 2050. Long-term GHG emissions target: limiting the per capita GHG emissions to maximum of 1.23 t/CO2, or 1.58 t/CO2 in 2050 to achieve the below 2°C objective, with a probability of 66% and 50% respectively.
Greenhouse gases considered: (a) carbon dioxide (CO2); (b) methane (CH4); (c) nitrous oxide (N2O); (d) hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs); (e) perfluorocarbons (PFCs); (f) sulfur hexafluoride (SF6); and (g) nitrous trifluoride (NF3).
The document examines three possible development scenarios: Scenario 1: Low population growth - high economic growth; Scenario 2: Average population growth - average economic growth; and Scenario 3: High population growth - low economic growth. GHG emissions reduction envisages international support.
Expected results: the long-term vision of the Kyrgyz Republic is to limit the per capita GHG emissions to a very low level of 1.58 t CO2 in line with 20C objective. Hence, the ambition and fairness of the national efforts, submitted in the INDC, is evident and equitable in the face of a sharp growth of the country's economic level.