2050 Long-Term Vision for Nigeria (LTV-2050).

This Long Term Vision is intended as a first contribution towards the invitation expressed in Article 4.19 of the Paris Agreement to communicate long-term low greenhouse gas emissions development strategies (LT-LEDS) and is elaborated in order to collect a broad set of views and prepare for the construction of a full long-term strategy to explore how Nigeria can achieve its new climate ambition. With an initial focus to 2050, this Long Term Vision provides a clear sense of direction to all stakeholders for a well-managed transition to a low-carbon economy that creates new jobs, economic opportunities and promotes a sustainable and climate-proofed economic development. The Long Term Vision is subdivided into 6 sections: Section 1 provides an introduction, with a background and the process for the development of the Vision. Section 2 gives an overview of Nigeria’s policies related to climate change. Section 3 focuses on the current situation of the Vision, its guiding principles, its main elements and the role of stakeholders, and provides a scenario for 2050. Section 4 defines the core sectors in which the Vision is applied: Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use; Energy; Fresh Water and Coastal Wetlands; Industry; Urban Settlements; Oil and Gas; Transport; Waste; Gender inclusion as a cross-cutting sector. Section 5 specifies the role of innovation in its social, economic, technological and environmental aspects. Section 6 concerns way forward and elaboration of the Vision.
The Long Term Vision’s goal states that by 2050, Nigeria will be a country of low-carbon, climate-resilient, high-growth circular economy that reduces its current level of emission by 50%, moving towards having net-zero emissions across all sectors of its development in a gender-responsive manner. The achievement of this ambitious goal is guided by the following principles: Country-driven and country-specific climate change interventions and responses; sustainable and resilient economy and social development with adequate adaptation response; effective citizenship participation; social inclusion and responsibility among stakeholders; identification of low-carbon transition enabling activities; promotion of environmental quality and ecological equilibrium; transparency, accountability, and equity; monitoring, evaluation and reporting of all climate change interventions and lessons; international partnership and cooperation; good governance and coordination between policies.
Highlighting the integration of the Vision in the various sectors, concerning Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use the Vision states that: by 2050, sustainable land use and Climate Smart Agriculture (including livestock and fisheries) practices will be adopted by all large-scale farmers and more than 75% of smallholder farmers, while forestry management practices will be in line with the global mechanism of reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+). The Vision anchors the Energy sector to its decarbonisation by halving emissions in the sector relative to current levels and increasing the contribution of renewable to the country’s energy mix by 50% with a view of achieving net zero carbon emission by the end of the century. The Country’s Vision for the Water sector aims at minimising the impact of climate change on the sector, improving energy efficiency and increasing sector’s resilience for sustainable water development, through strategic mitigation and adaptation options. The Industry sector, by 2050 will be a low carbon sector, with enhanced energy efficiency that seizes the incoming opportunities with global transition towards climate resilience and circular economy. Concerning the Urban sector, the Vision will reduce the cities’ carbon footprint by 50% by 2050 and move towards becoming carbon-neutral and climate-resilient at the end of the century. The Vision will reduce carbon emission from Nigeria’s Oil and Gas value chains by 50% of its current level by 2050 and transit to net zero emission by the end of the century. In the Transport sector, too, the Vision provides for a system moving towards carbon neutrality and increased transportation efficiency. Concerning Waste management, the Vision will reduce GHG emissions by at least 50% by 2050, while transiting to a carbon-neutral waste management at the end of the century through expansive adoption of up-to-date technologies for solid, liquid, and gaseous waste (MSW) processing and other emerging technologies. The focus of the Vision on the Gender inclusion shall be to mainstream gender considerations into all actions and leverage on existing forward-looking practices to foster equitable institutions and systems for a paradigm shifting transition to net zero carbon and climate resilient future that will benefit all the people equally.